Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 223.094271 251.161419 282.367430 319.813599 363.760493 413.985614 476.136727
2024-10-20 179.951299 216.408655 260.538339 318.585577 393.980089 490.081865 624.310408
2024-10-27 150.538502 188.326032 236.488906 303.593611 396.667297 524.323365 718.406016
2024-11-03 139.607015 180.846270 235.888487 316.717132 435.935330 611.407957 901.724745
2024-11-10 132.127484 176.407515 237.942477 332.650940 480.417330 712.807501 1130.181195
2024-11-17 121.579174 166.199995 230.211714 332.510965 499.623868 777.423172 1312.962741
2024-11-24 110.594768 154.081443 218.093710 323.605795 502.705174 814.822037 1454.943542
2024-12-01 101.496697 143.809287 207.542566 315.571353 505.502815 851.397853 1604.018215
2024-12-08 97.375625 140.608755 207.444661 324.413722 538.631684 949.614762 1910.414079
2024-12-15 92.189339 135.250551 203.296934 325.678791 557.872629 1024.289336 2187.977743
2024-12-22 86.198337 128.110764 195.544143 319.596483 562.041418 1068.505477 2405.964341
2024-12-29 82.031300 123.575291 191.686784 320.015896 578.895374 1143.189710 2730.493760
2025-01-05 76.545361 116.613133 183.345776 311.632920 577.510155 1178.773224 2967.285490
2025-01-12 72.749519 112.223401 179.132341 310.708233 591.918554 1255.490796 3364.408300
2025-01-19 67.247729 104.563532 168.527788 296.160177 574.443209 1249.744389 3493.581367
2025-01-26 66.203612 104.475397 171.469954 308.878441 620.112316 1417.473883 4312.011786
2025-02-02 65.542911 104.986901 175.517157 324.312203 674.951003 1626.509378 5434.085424
2025-02-09 62.913932 101.806837 172.373062 324.176659 691.976437 1732.015761 6203.746193
2025-02-16 59.464078 96.933395 165.637787 315.551629 686.262984 1767.163611 6676.779842
2025-02-23 56.374467 92.546218 159.547644 307.768235 681.653925 1805.241006 7198.622933
2025-03-02 55.337634 91.879294 160.684064 316.334222 721.999509 2004.083470 8770.519321
2025-03-09 53.571416 89.738910 158.721353 317.559588 742.504572 2141.783311 10140.897052
2025-03-16 51.196121 86.315935 153.933315 311.667798 741.926902 2203.100903 11087.772489